Publications

Peer-reviewed scientific articles and publications

Ahlqvist, T. & Uotila, J. (2026) Context moulding and the production of uncertainty: Exploring future signals in geopolitical (dis)information spaces. Forthcoming in Liuhto, K. & Sipilä, J. (eds.) Inevitable Instability in Russia: Strategic intelligence, information and foresight on Russia. Springer Nature. Palgrave MacMillan.

Ahlqvist, T. – Knudsen, M. & Taylor, M. (2026) Explorative Futures of the Metaverse: Relations, Contradictions, and Future Folds. Forthcoming in Neuvonen, R. & Viljanen, J. (eds.) Real Rights in the Virtual World: Human Rights in the Age of Artificial Intelligence and Virtual Reality. Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd.

Ahlqvist, T. & Pouru-Mikkola, L. (2026) Widening or flattening futures? Analysing drivers and tensions in working life scenarios. Forthcoming in Nummela, N. et al. (eds.) The Many Faces of Global Mobility: Cosmopolitans and the Future of Work.

Vikkula, Sami – Mäntyniemi, Samu & Kuikka, Sakari (2025) Compilation and standardization of oil toxicity data on early life stages of fish to support population-level oil spill impact modeling. Aquatic Toxicology, Vol. 286, 2025, 107480.

Janasik, Nina – Luoma, Emilia – Knudsen, Mikkel – Nikkanen, Maija & Hukkinen, Janne I. (2025) Cruel utopia of the seas? Multiple risks challenge the singular hydrogen hype in Finnish maritime logistics. Energy Research & Social Science, Vol. 129, November 2025, 104406.

Linnekoski, Emilia (2025) Uncertainties and risks in the adoption of new fuels in Finnish maritime logistics. Master’s thesis, May 2025. Master’s Programme in Environmental Change and Global Sustainability, University of Helsinki.

Malinen, S.K. – Nikkanen, M. & Kekki, T. (2025) Expectation of Reciprocity and Other-Focused Values Foster Informal Volunteering Intentions in Disasters: Evidence From Finland. Nonprofit and Voluntary Sector Quarterly, 0(0).

Monroe, Cari (2025) Regulation as a Constraint and Enabler of Sustainability Transition to Alternative Maritime Fuels. Master’s thesis May/2025.  Master’s Programme in Environmental Change and Global Sustainability, University of Helsinki.

Altarriba, E. – Rahiala, S. – Tanhuanpää, T. & Lehikoinen, A (2025) Comparing fuels and emission reduction technologies for sustainable shipping: A sustainability index weighting life cycle emissions and costs. Journal of Cleaner Production 495.

de Jong, K. – Murray, C.C. – Anabitarte, A. – Bailey, S. – Drake, L. – Fernandes-Salvador, J. A. – Hassellov, I.-M. – Heibeck, N. – Jalkanen, J-P. – Lehikoinen, A. – Merchant, N. – Nylund, A.T. & Redfern, J-V. (2025) Trade-offs and synergies in the management of environmental pressures: a case study on ship noise mitigation. Marine Pollution Bulletin 218.

Hassellöv, I–M. – Murray, C. – Bailey, S. – Lehikoinen, A. & Ytreberg, E. (2025) Editorial: Shipping pressures and impacts on the marine environment. Frontiers in Marine Science 12.  doi: 10.3389/fmars.2025.1615830

Lehikoinen, A. – Reinekoski, T. – Janasik, N. – Ahvenainen, M. & Hukkinen, J.I. (2025) Participatory Bayesian Networks for uncovering reflexive unknowns in strategic environmental risk management. Journal of Environmental Management, 384: 125373.

Palmroth, M. & Hukkinen, J.I. (2025) Expanding use of space is an opportunity for sustainability but a threat to resilience. Ecology and Society, 30(2):6.

Soini, K. – Hukkinen, J. – Kaljonen, M. – Levänen, J. & Munck af Rosenschöld, J. (2024) What is sustainability science? In: Halonen, T. – Korhonen-Kurki, K. – Niemelä, J. &  Pietikäinen, J. (eds.) The Avenues to Sustainability: Key Lessons from Sustainability Science. Helsinki: Gaudeamus, p. 19–46.

Vihma, Peeter & Hukkinen, Janne I. (2024) Bracing urban governance against climate crises: How to integrate high reliability into strategic decision-making? Environmental Policy and Governance, 1–11.

Nikkanen, Maija – Räsänen, Aleksi – Juhola, Sirkku (2024) Adaptive governance of disaster preparedness? The case of regional networks in Finland. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 108 (2024) 104549.

Luoma, Emilia – Parviainen, Tuuli – Haapasaari, Päivi – Lehikoinen, Annukka (2024) Sustainability as a shared objective? Stakeholders’ interpretations on the sustainable development of marinas in the Gulf of Finland. Ocean and Coastal Management 254 (2024) 107197.

Knudsen, Mikkel – Ahlqvist, Toni & Taylor, Amos (2023) Defining ‘Future Generations’: Epistemic Considerations on Conceptualizing a Future-Oriented Domain in Policy and Law-Making. Journal of Futures Studies 28(2): 3–19.

Palmén, Mikael – Lotrič, Ajda – Laakso, Aleksi – Bolbot, Victor – Elg, Mia & Valdez Banda, Osiris (2023) Selecting Appropriate Energy Source Options for an Arctic Research Ship. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 2023, 11, 2337.

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Articles and presentations for professional communities or general public

Ahlqvist, T. (2026) Future uncertainties, emergence and context: On interface of strategic foresight and intelligence studies. Baltic Rim Economies 1/2026.

Hukkinen, J. – Janasik, N. – Nikkanen, M. – Monroe, C. & Linnekoski, E.  (2025) The struggle to make green ammonia the maritime fuel of choice. Presentation. Komarec 2025: Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Farokhi, R. – Basnet, S. & Valdez Banda, O. (2025) Unsafe control actions in autonomous navigation systems: a SysML based analysis for enhanced safety. Presentation. Komarec 2025: Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Lauttamäki, V. – Ahlqvist, T. & Knudsen, M. (2025) Navigating decarbonization: contrasting academic and industry perspectives. Presentation. Komarec 2025: Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Ahlqvist, T. – Knudsen, M. – Lauttamäki, V. & Villman, T. (2025) Anticipatory organisations and future-oriented regulation: stylised positions in long term-oriented industries like marine logistics. Presentation. Komarec 2025: Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Ahlqvist, T. – Basnet, S. – Farokhi, R. – Hukkinen, J. – Janasik, N. – Kauppi, P. – Kuikka, S. – Knudsen, M. – Lauttamäki, V. – Lehikoinen, A. – Luoma, E. – Nikkanen, M. & Valdez Banda, O. (2025) Strategic foresight for maritime transitions: A digital foresight platform as a framework for exploring systemic changes and policy. Presentation. Komarec 2025. Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Gyroscope consortium (2025) GYROSCOPE – Scenarios, risks and opportunities of digital solutions in transition towards green and sustainable marine logistics. Poster. Komarec 2025: Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Luoma, E. – Kauppi, P. – Nikkanen, M. – Janasik, N. & Lehikoinen, A. (2025) The green transition in maritime logistics: a systems analysis on alternative fuels. Poster. Komarec 2025: Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Kauppi, P. – Lehikoinen, A. & Luoma, E. (2025) Green maritime traffic: the unknown impacts of emission reduction on marine biodiversity. Poster. Komarec 2025. Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Haavisto, J. – Vikkula, S. & Kuikka, S. (2025) Integrating Bayesian Network Models for Oil Spill Risk Assessment: Linking Economic Decision-Making with Biological Impact Modeling in the Gulf of Finland. Poster. Komarec 2025: Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Nikkanen, M. – Jakonen, A. & Lehikoinen, A. (2025) Exploring systemic safety in a port community. Poster. Komarec 2025: Kotka Maritime Research Conference. 29–30 October 2025, Kotka, Finland.

Hukkinen, J.I. (2025) Merenkulun uudet polttoaineet edellyttävät koko energiajärjestelmän murrosta. Esitys Uudenkaupungin rauhan symposiumissa 15.8.2025, Järjestäjät: Uudenkaupungin kaupunki, Suomen Tiedeseura, Tampereen yliopiston rauhan ja konfliktin tutkimuskeskus TAPRI.

Ahlqvist, T. – Knudsen, M.S. – Lauttamäki, V. & Villman, T. (2025) Anticipatory organisations and future-oriented regulation: Emerging policy pathways in marine logistics and pharmaceutical manufacturing. Presentation. FFRC’s annual Futures Conference 2025: Futures of Technologies – Mutual Shaping of Socio-Technical Transformations. 10–12 June 2025, Turku, Finland.

Janasik, N. – Luoma, E. – Nikkanen, M. & Knudsen, M.S. (2025) Programming Seafare: Maritime digital solutions as environmental heritage futures.  Presentation. FFRC’s annual Futures Conference 2025: Futures of Technologies – Mutual Shaping of Socio-Technical Transformations. 10–12 June 2025, Turku, Finland.

Luoma, E. – Kauppi. P. – Nikkanen, M. – Janasik, N. & Lehikoinen, A. (2025) The Green Transition in Maritime Logistics: A Systems Analysis on Alternative Fuels. FFRC’s annual Futures Conference 2025: Futures of Technologies – Mutual Shaping of Socio-Technical Transformations. 10–12 June 2025, Turku, Finland.

Nikkanen, M. – Luoma, E. – Janasik, N. – Linnekoski, E. & Hukkinen, J. (2025) Uncharted waters: Risk and uncertainty in maritime decarbonization. FFRC’s annual Futures Conference 2025: Futures of Technologies – Mutual Shaping of Socio-Technical Transformations. 10–12 June 2025, Turku, Finland.

Knudsen, M. – Ahlqvist, T. – Lauttamäki, V. & Villman, T. (2025) Anticipatory Organisations and Future-oriented Regulation: Emerging Policy Pathways in Marine Logistics and Pharmaceutical Industry. Futures4Europe Conference 2025: Exploring Future-Oriented Collective Intelligence. 15–16 May 2025, Wien, Austria.

Farokhi, Raheleh – Basnet, Sunil & Valdez Banda, Osiris A. (2025) Mitigating Unsafe Control Actions in Autonomous Navigation Systems: A SysMLBased Analysis for Enhanced Safety. Proceedings of the 35th European Safety and Reliability & the 33rd Society for Risk Analysis Europe Conference. Edited by Eirik Bjorheim Abrahamsen, Terje Aven, Frederic Bouder, Roger Flage, Marja Ylönen. ESREL SRA-E 2025 Organizers. Published by Research Publishing, Singapore. doi: 10.3850/978-981-94-3281-3_ESREL-SRA-E2025-P5055-cd

Ahlqvist. T. (2025) Ilmiöitä, kantoaaltoja ja syväluotauksia: Miten ennakoida Itämeren alueen geopoliittisia muutosvirtoja? Pulloposti -kolumni. Centrum Balticum.

Ahlqvist, T. – Knudsen, M. – Lauttamäki, V. & Villman, T. (2025) Anticipatory organisations and future-oriented regulation: Emerging policy pathways in marine logistics and pharmaceutical industry. Paper presented in Anticipatory Governance 2025, 8–10 May 2025. Trento, Italy.

Ahlqvist, T. – Knudsen, M. – Lauttamäki, V. – Janasik, N. – Lehikoinen, A. – Luoma, E. & Nikkanen, M. (2025) Future maritime logistics space: expectations, tensions, contradictions. Paper presented in the 2025 American Association of Geographers AAG Annual Meeting, 24–28 April 2025. Detroit, USA.

Hukkinen, J.I. (2025) Ministeri ei ymmärrä ympäristöpolitiikan perusteita [Minister fails to understand the basics of environmental policy], in Finnish, Helsingin Sanomat, OpEd, 29 January 2025, p. B11.

Hukkinen, Janne I. (2023) Krooniset ympäristökriisit pakottavat velkaantumaan (Chronic environmental crises force indebtedness) in Finnish, Helsingin Sanomat, OpEd, 27 August 2024, p. B24.

Lauttamäki, Ville – Ahlqvist, Toni & Knudsen, Mikkel Stein (2024) Transition towards net-zero emissions in marine traffic – Reflecting and enriching current visions. Paper presented in the Futures of Natural Resources, Conference Organized by Finland Futures Research Centre & Finland Futures Academy, University of Turku in co-operation with Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), 13–14 June 2024.

Hukkinen, Janne I. (2024) Asiantuntijalausunto eduskunnan tulevaisuusvaliokunnalle asiassa E 32/2024 vp Valtioneuvoston selvitys: EU:n kriisivarautumisen ja resilienssin vahvistaminen; Suomen näkemyksiä varautumisunionistrategian valmisteluun. 4.6.2024, 4 s.

Ahlqvist, Toni – Lehikoinen, Annukka – Janasik, Nina & Luoma, Emilia (2024) GYROSCOPE: Spatiotemporalities and future pathways in marine logistics. Paper presented in the 2024 American Association of Geographers AAG Annual Meeting, 16–20 April 2024. Honolulu, Hawaii, USA.

Hukkinen, Janne I. (2023) Kuinka Suomi voi sopeutua kroonisten ympäristökriisien tulevaisuuteen? (How can Finland adapt to a future of chronic environmental crises?) Maanpuolustus, Vol. 143, 15.3.2024.

Lauttamäki, Ville (2024) Merilogistiikan kestävyyssiirtymän tulevaisuudet tarkastelussa. Futuuri 1/2024, Tulevaisuuden tutkimuskeskuksen asiakastiedote.

Ahlqvist, T. (2023) Analysing future pathways towards sustainable marine logistics. Talk Together: Maritime Horizons: Charting the Future towards Sustainable Seas. University of Turku, 30.11.2023.

Ahlqvist, Toni – Janasik, Nina – Lehikoinen, Annukka & Luoma, Emilia (2023) Merilogistiikan on pakko vihertyä – työ alkaa nyt. MustRead, 1.11.2023.

Lehikoinen, Annukka – Janasik, Nina & Valdez Banda, Osiris (2023) Huomioita meriliikenteen ja merituulivoiman yhteensovittamisesta. Esitelmä. Merituulivoiman alueellinen vuorovaikutusfoorumi, Kotka, 9.10.2023.

Lehikoinen, Annukka (2023) Meriliikenteen rooli meriympäristön tilassa. Esitelmä. Vaikuta vesiin -päivät, Ympäristöministeriö, 29.8.2023.

Vedyn mahdollisuudet korkean lisäarvon tuotteissa. XAMK Read, nro 3/2023. (Interview commentaries of Annukka Lehikoinen & Emilia Luoma)